Current Team Rankings
Standings
Current Standings
| Club | Played | Wins | Point Differential | Losing Bonus Points | Try Bonus Points | Competition Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stade Toulousain | 24 | 16 | 169 | 1 | 8 | 75 |
| La Rochelle | 24 | 16 | 201 | 3 | 7 | 74 |
| Stade Francais Paris | 24 | 13 | 140 | 5 | 5 | 64 |
| Racing 92 | 24 | 13 | 21 | 3 | 4 | 61 |
| Lyon | 24 | 13 | 30 | 5 | 3 | 60 |
| Bordeaux Begles | 24 | 12 | 63 | 5 | 3 | 58 |
| Toulon | 24 | 13 | 50 | 2 | 3 | 57 |
| Bayonne | 24 | 12 | -35 | 2 | 2 | 54 |
| Clermont Auvergne | 24 | 10 | -43 | 5 | 4 | 51 |
| Montpellier Herault | 24 | 10 | 21 | 6 | 4 | 50 |
| Castres Olympique | 24 | 11 | -116 | 2 | 1 | 49 |
| Pau | 24 | 9 | -39 | 5 | 4 | 47 |
| Perpignan | 24 | 9 | -218 | 3 | 0 | 39 |
| Brive | 24 | 7 | -244 | 6 | 1 | 35 |
Projected Remaining Table
| Club | Matches Remaining | Wins | Point Differential | Losing Bonus Points | Try Bonus Points | Competition Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stade Toulousain | 2 | 2 | 23 | 0 | 2 | 10 |
| La Rochelle | 2 | 1.8 | 13.4 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 9.3 |
| Castres Olympique | 2 | 1.7 | 8.1 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 8.5 |
| Lyon | 2 | 1.5 | 8.9 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 7.7 |
| Clermont Auvergne | 2 | 1.4 | 3.4 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 7.6 |
| Toulon | 2 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 1 | 6.3 |
| Bordeaux Begles | 2 | 1.1 | 2.9 | 0.5 | 1 | 5.9 |
| Racing 92 | 2 | 0.9 | -0.4 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 5.4 |
| Montpellier Herault | 2 | 0.6 | -2.9 | 1 | 0.5 | 4.1 |
| Pau | 2 | 0.5 | -6.7 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 3.2 |
| Stade Francais Paris | 2 | 0.5 | -10.2 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 3 |
| Bayonne | 2 | 0.4 | -10.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 2.3 |
| Brive | 2 | 0.3 | -16.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 2 |
| Perpignan | 2 | 0 | -14.4 | 0.4 | 0 | 0.5 |
Projected Total Table
| Club | Total Matches | Wins | Point Differential | Losing Bonus Points | Try Bonus Points | Competition Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stade Toulousain | 26 | 18 | 192 | 1 | 10 | 85 |
| La Rochelle | 26 | 17.8 | 214.4 | 3.2 | 8.8 | 83.3 |
| Lyon | 26 | 14.5 | 38.9 | 5.5 | 4.3 | 67.7 |
| Stade Francais Paris | 26 | 13.5 | 129.8 | 5.5 | 5.4 | 67 |
| Racing 92 | 26 | 13.9 | 20.6 | 3.8 | 4.8 | 66.4 |
| Bordeaux Begles | 26 | 13.1 | 65.9 | 5.5 | 4 | 63.9 |
| Toulon | 26 | 14.2 | 51.8 | 2.6 | 4 | 63.3 |
| Clermont Auvergne | 26 | 11.4 | -39.6 | 5.5 | 5.2 | 58.6 |
| Castres Olympique | 26 | 12.7 | -107.9 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 57.5 |
| Bayonne | 26 | 12.4 | -45.3 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 56.3 |
| Montpellier Herault | 26 | 10.6 | 18.1 | 7 | 4.5 | 54.1 |
| Pau | 26 | 9.5 | -45.7 | 5.6 | 4.4 | 50.2 |
| Perpignan | 26 | 9 | -232.4 | 3.4 | 0 | 39.5 |
| Brive | 26 | 7.3 | -260.7 | 6.6 | 1.2 | 37 |
Projected Playoff Results
| Reach Quarterfinals | Reach Semifinals | Reach Final | Win Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Rochelle | 100.0 % | 100.0 % | 97.1 % | 64.9 % |
| Stade Toulousain | 100.0 % | 100.0 % | 92.5 % | 35.0 % |
| Lyon | 99.9 % | 64.1 % | 4.8 % | 0.1 % |
| Toulon | 26.7 % | 20.6 % | 2.3 % | 0.0 % |
| Racing 92 | 80.8 % | 54.9 % | 2.1 % | 0.0 % |
| Bordeaux Begles | 92.6 % | 22.8 % | 1.2 % | 0.0 % |
| Stade Francais Paris | 100.0 % | 37.6 % | 0.0 % | 0.0 % |
Projected Promotion and Relegation Results
| Club | Current Competition | To Top 14 | To Pro D2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Perpignan | Top 14 | 71.1 % | 29.0 % |
| Brive | Top 14 | 9.8 % | 90.1 % |
| Oyonnax | Pro D2 | 98.6 % | 1.0 % |
| Mont-de-Marsan | Pro D2 | 19.5 % | 77.6 % |
| Nevers | Pro D2 | 1.0 % | 2.2 % |
| Vannes | Pro D2 | 0.0 % | 0.1 % |
Completed Match Review
| Model | Percent Correct Predictions | Spread Error |
|---|---|---|
| Club Level | 68.5% | 10.8 |
| Player Level: Lineup | 64.3% | 17.3 |
| Player Level: Minutes | 67.3% | 17.5 |
Future Predictions
Week 25
Racing 92 V Toulon on 2023/05/13
Average Margin: Racing 92 by 2.2
Bordeaux Begles V Pau on 2023/05/13
Average Margin: Bordeaux Begles by 7.2
Montpellier Herault V La Rochelle on 2023/05/13
Average Margin: La Rochelle by 3.0
Brive V Castres Olympique on 2023/05/13
Average Margin: Castres Olympique by 1.5
Bayonne V Clermont Auvergne on 2023/05/13
Average Margin: Clermont Auvergne by 1.1
Perpignan V Stade Toulousain on 2023/05/13
Average Margin: Stade Toulousain by 7.8
Stade Francais Paris V Lyon on 2023/05/14
Average Margin: Stade Francais Paris by 0.3
Week 26
La Rochelle V Stade Francais Paris on 2023/05/28
Average Margin: La Rochelle by 10.9
Pau V Montpellier Herault on 2023/05/28
Average Margin: Pau by 0.1
Toulon V Bordeaux Begles on 2023/05/28
Average Margin: Toulon by 4.1
Lyon V Bayonne on 2023/05/28
Average Margin: Lyon by 9.7
Castres Olympique V Perpignan on 2023/05/28
Average Margin: Castres Olympique by 7.1
Clermont Auvergne V Racing 92 on 2023/05/28
Average Margin: Clermont Auvergne by 2.7
Stade Toulousain V Brive on 2023/05/28
Average Margin: Stade Toulousain by 15.7
